TGFBI | Episode 68: Beat The Shift (w/Vlad Sedler)

Episode 68: NFBC Episode
Guest – Vlad Sedler
Strategy Section –
FAAB
How to allocate / when to spend on FAAB?
Spend early vs. save vs budget for every week
Is it worth it to spend big FAAB on prospects?
vs. Closers / Hot players / Team needs etc.
Risk
How do you price uncertain players?
Players with uncertain skill level.
Players with an uncertain injury return time.
Players who have not signed with a team yet.
Mixed vs. Mono leagues
Twitter Question: When should the focus in drafts switch from picking players with high floors (low risk), to more riskier players with higher upsides?
Twitter Question: If I would 100% guarantee you that in 2020 Gerrit Cole would exactly replicate his 2019 statistics – where would you take him in a draft?
At what point in the draft would you rather take the best uncertain player than the guaranteed stats?
Ex. Guaranteed 2019 Marcus Semien 2019 or Uncertain 2020 Ronald Acuna?
NFBC Section –
What is the NFBC and why should you pay attention?
What are some NFBC trends that continued / were present in 2019.
Will they continue in 2020?
Trend examples:
SP taken early trends
Speed going earlier trends
Should you be zagging when others are zigging, or should you go with the market for trends?
Mailbag – The team answers Twitter comments and questions.
Injury Update – Reuven gives us the injury update.